Just gave the opening keynote for the Smallsat Symposium this morning.

The engine on the left is an early prototype rom Astra. It is 3D-printed from the Inconel superalloy and has integral regenerative cooling channels on the inside.

Here is one of the slides that was hard to read. Note: 180 smallsat launch companies, and with cost/kg forecasts that are much higher than the $5K/kg EDLP for a SpaceX rideshare. The image on my laptop is the latest stack, with 143 satellites sent on a Falcon 9.

SatNews wrote a nice summary.

3 responses to “Getting Literal for a Fireside Chat 🔥 on Space”

  1. Just got an answer from the CEO of Rocket Lab. I asked "What is your current cost/kg to SSO?" A: "We will never be cost competitive with large launch vehicles on cost per kg. I did not answer your question; it depends on the mission."

    The engine

  2. Richard Branson was today’s keynote, with his Virgin Orbit team.

    I asked: What is the current Virgin Orbit price/kg to SSO?
    A: “It’s 11-12M per rocket launch, and we can lift 300kg to 500km SSO, so $35-40K/kg.”

    Followup Q: “Why would a smallsat customer want to pay $35-40K for a SSO 500Km flight when it’s 7-8x higher than a Falcon 9 rideshare? If it’s for tailored orbits, wouldn’t SpaceX + a tug still be cheaper/kg?”

    A: “Some customers don’t want to share a ride with others. The pricing wars have yet to be determined, and the tech of tugs is yet to be proven — how long will they take and what inclination change can they affect.”

    Branson: “if a customer can’t afford to put stuff into orbit, we can do it for an equity stake in them.”

    “VG and VO don’t fit together in any obvious way.”

    Q: “Is space the hardest thing you have ever done?”
    A: “Yes.”

  3. From PWC, small sats by year, yellow = constellations and orange=single missions

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