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Wondering about gray goo? Here’s the conclusion from an analysis of the prospect of Global Ecophagy by Biovorous Nanoreplicators:

”The smallest plausible biovorous nanoreplicator has a molecular weight of ~1 gigadalton and a minimum replication time of perhaps ~100 seconds, in theory permitting global ecophagy to be completed in as few as ~10^4 seconds. However, such rapid replication creates an immediately detectable thermal signature enabling effective defensive policing instrumentalities to be promptly deployed before significant damage to the ecology can occur.”

In short, the paper calculates that the maximum speed that self-replicating nanobots could eat the Earth is 2.78 hours. But they take comfort in the notion that this generates a lot of heat, which could alert “defensive measures.”

So…. look for any indication of global warming. It’s a sign.

15 responses to “Just what we need…”

  1. Ha ha! A book, perfect for those who want to know more about one of your favourite subjects!

  2. Good point on the heat! I hadnt considered that.

    While I am not all that worried about grey goo, it would be simple enough to dope the world with counter-reactive goo, which, when it encounters those heat signatures, breaks the self-replication chain. Perhaps a good countermeasure would be to generate molecules which bind to multiple ‘goo-members’ arms with very high affinities. Thus preventing replication and weighing down the goo.

  3. Wouldn’t 10^4 seconds be more like 27.8 hours, Steve?

  4. uh, no…. =)
    10,000 / 3,600 =2.78

  5. Michael Crichton’s,Prey… all over again… yikes

  6. Of course… Sorry, I multiplied by 10 one too many times.

  7. LOL. Have you had the displeasure of reading Prey? Holy crap, that book was a turd of cosmic hugeness.

  8. Reading Freitas’s paper for the first time – that was a depressing day.

  9. bumper sticker recently seen in marin county:

    "Eschew Biovorous Nanoreplicator Ecophagy"

    😉

  10. I’ll bet that book contains fine print.

  11. And who says that hungry biovorous nanoreplicators wouldn´t eat up or kill themselves first before even becoming any critical mass to, say, heat one calorie?

    O_o

    Uncontrolled self-replication is necessary condition, though it doesn´t suffice. To eat up the world you need not only self replicating things, but non self-destructive ones. There is something wise about the Universe in not having put these two attributes together.

    (and yes, I am certainly remembering your emotionally pointillist friends, the Baboons.)

  12. This is great! I’m going to have to buy a copy, may help with our nanotechnology project that has been proving elusive! BTW, isn’t the grey blob a little big for a nanoparticle?

    (I saw this photo in Scientist Photographers group)

  13. hhsc: oh, that blob is grey goo self-replicating… many nanobots in there having a convention. They will soon go aerosol and test their mesh protocols for a utility fog…

    Alieness: it’s all in the intelligent design… 😉

    ben: Yup, Prey was a hoot. Read it when it first came out. What ever happened to the movie?

    RememberIntelligent Design

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