iPhone 14 Pro Max
ƒ/1.78
6.86 mm
1/48
320
Based on this version of Moore’s Law, Ray Kurzweil forecasted that AGI would arrive by 2029.
He made that prediction 30 years ago. And today, at TED 2024, he thinks we are right on track.
I have also been maintaining his curve for the past 20 years, and if you want to do a deep dive, I describe it here.
and until his next book comes out in June, here’s
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