DSC-RX100M3
ƒ/2.8
8.8 mm
1/30
320

Designed by Danny Hillis, this solid metal prototype cam just arrived from the Long Now Foundation. She has a lovely, lithe and sinuous shape that emerges from the precise encoding of a fundamental future for Earth’s next 10,000 years.

In the design of a clock that will run for 10,000 years, the Long Now Foundation decided to use the passage of the sun as a feedback loop on the precision of the mechanical mechanism. Every year, the timing of the sun varies with the seasons; the solar clock repeats an annual pattern as the Earth, with its tilted axis of rotation, circles the Sun. But over thousands of years, it changes in two major ways:

1) the Earth’s rotation slows by 1.8 msec/day, and this adds up to a 16 hour error over 10,000 years.

2) the axis of rotation itself wobbles over a 26,000 cycle. In 8,000 years, we will have a new North Star — Deneb instead of Polaris.

So, the cam encodes both, the steady lengthening of the day and the cyclical shift of Earth’s axial angle.

Here is a writeup with more details and diagrams of the curves:

“The equation of time cam is a piece of the clock that converts solar noon to absolute noon. The cam represents 12,000 years of this equation, with one rotation per year. While the Clock’s day to day time-keeper is a slow pendulum, a solar synchronizer and cam like this one are needed to correct drift over the long haul. On any sunny day, when the sun lines up with this mechanism, light is focused onto a piece of nickel-titanium wire that reacts when heated by the sun. This motion is used to synchronize the Clock to solar noon. The synchronization is also modified slightly by the equation of time cam, which accounts for the +/- 15 minute difference of solar to absolute time. Due to meteor impacts and volcanic eruptions, the clock may not see the sun for several years, so it must be accurate enough to stay within the range of this correction during those times.”

5 responses to “The Future Physics of Planet Earth”

  1. In the clock… You can see it tucked up just below the face, left of center.

    Side view of my lithe #10

  2. Excellent photos and explanation. What effect will this have with the recent shift of the magnetic north that occurred.

  3. I have two of the earlier Levinger versions (cast bronze not machined). This new edition is very tempting! Fun fact: there is an extra 1,000 years on the actual clock cam (e.g. 11,000 years) so future humans have time to make a new one when the current cam "runs out." The thought (as explained to me by a LN clock team member) was, a) it’s hard to predict axial precession and earth rotational drift out more than 10,000 yrs, and b) by then earthlings will know how to make a more accurate cam… My suggestion was to make at least 100k years worth and have them in a revolving turret…but I’m 100% sure DHillis has thought of all these angles…what an amazing team and org!

  4. fascinating! thanks

    [https://www.flickr.com/photos/26274943@N02] — I don’t think it would have any direct effect on the Earth’s physical motion… but if a pole reversal wiped out humanity (unlikely), then perhaps we’d stop changing the eccentricity of the Earth, most dramatically with climate-change-induced sea level rises and less so with major mass-shift projects (e.g., Three Gorges Dam increased the length of the day by 0.06 microseconds)

  5. Steve: see this article – gcaptain.com/shifting-north-magnetic-pole-forces-unpreced…
    While the shift was a navigational issue; the corresponding concern is the impact of the changes we bring with projects such as the Three Gorges Dam and naturally occurring events such as the earthquake tsunami scenarios in Indonesia and Japan..

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