Churchill Club Top 10 Tech Trends Debate 2017

3 responses to “Churchill Club Top 10 Tech Trends Debate 2017”

1. 

   jurvetson

   May 26, 2017 at 6:16 pm

   Here are the audience votes:
   The scale labels were wrong in the video, but the Plague trend is about halfway, at the 48% agree point. So the top two trends were in the 80% agree range, then three trends in the 60% agree range, and the bottom three trends were 64%, 71% and 81% disagree.

   And some nice photos from the Churchill Club, taken by Ed Jay: A commissioned wand from ACME Supply Co. with sterling silver accents and a crystal ball with fire opal underneath It’s pretty cool. Details
   They had these giant paintings behind each of the five speakers. Kinda surreal. And they also had versions with titles and text generated by "PamAI", a neural net trained on works of literature and excerpts of text from one-on-one interviews with the panelists. Here is a video summary

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2. 

   jurvetson

   May 27, 2017 at 1:53 am

   The 10 trends in full:

   1) Redefining Education from the How to the What.
   The ability to consume educational content via different channels will both stretch both how children learn and how our children will learn. Through the mental teleportation via VR, classroom experience will shift towards democratizing access to virtual travel, global historical sites and novel experiences. Traditional classrooms to will focus on community and team oriented projects. Traditional intellectual endeavors (IQ) will happen virtually and online, while the importance of emotional intelligence (EQ) will be the primary focus of development through physical interaction. [Mike Abbott]

   2) The Revival of Voice.
   The multitouch screen UI finally cracked the code for smartphones. Major breakthroughs in voice will vastly broaden the compute fabric of the world. [Steve Jurvetson]

   3) Preventing the Plague.
   Last year, 2 million people in the US were infected with antibiotic-resistant bacteria. In the next 5 years, we will see a rise in microbiome engineering to create therapies to fight antibiotic resistance and save lives. [Rebecca Lynn]

   4) A Startup With IPO Prospects Will Start as an ICO.
   Initial Coin Offerings are like the next Kickstarter – an emerging ecosystem that becomes the springboard of a new wave of startups. In the next five years, we’ll see a startup whose initial capital was funded entirely by an ICO heralded as the first ICO to IPO. [Sarah Tavel]

   5) Food Production will be Revolutionized Globally.
   With 7 billion people on the planet and the high cost of certain foods like beef, Indoor Farming and new plant based foods are emerging. Scalability not adoption is the key 5-yr test. [Hans Tung]

   6) Rise of DNA Applications (DA) Due to Low Cost Sequence.
   The radical decrease of the cost of genomic sequencing will enable superior diagnostic tools that will trigger a dramatic shift to proactive from reactive medical treatments improving patient care and reducing health care costs. Cancer detection will be detected at the initial cancer cell development vs tumor development. Discoveries with our microbiome will revolutionize medicine as we shift from deploying a WMD, to our gut, to gardening our intestinal flora. Rise of the smart toilet! As people live longer due to the discovery of how we can maintain our telomere length, more services and advancements will be focused on enabling robust and thriving lifestyles. From novel social networks to simulated human connections in VR, aging will be redefined. [Mike Abbott]

   7) The Deep Edge: The Embedding of Inference Engines / Neural Nets / Tiny Brains in Everything. Couple some local intelligence to each sensor and the internet of things becomes the sensory cortex of the planet. [Steve Jurvetson]

   8) Breaking Up is Hard to Do.
   Trump will bring antitrust suits against Amazon, which will lead to a significant weakening of online megastores and a rise of direct-to-consumer companies. And Trump won’t stop at Amazon… [Rebecca Lynn]

   9) A Billion-Dollar Outcome will be Built on Understanding Our Biome.
   We have millions of organisms living in and on our bodies that we’re only now starting to understand. In the next five years, a startup will emerge that will not only help us understand our own unique ecosystems, but also how to optimize it. The company that does will have a billion-dollar+ outcome. [Sarah Tavel]

   10) Retail Stores Will Become Showrooms and VR Experiences.
   Offline retail will continue its steady decline as more customers move to online and toward brands with mass market appeal. Malls will become community service centers offering everything from day care to tax services. [Hans Tung]

   And a Computerworld writeup.

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3. 

   jurvetson

   Jun 16, 2017 at 6:56 pm

   Bezos: "Alexa, buy me something from Whole Foods"
   Alexa: "Buying Whole Foods"
   Bezos: "Sh*t"

   Reply